"The Killer Gap"
America is facing a shortage of well trained government killers, people who
know how to go anywhere, at any time, and using any means available, fight
America's enemies up close and personally. This is liable to cause us problems
as we enter the 21st century.
For thousands of years, the ultimate expression of political power was your
soldiers going in and personally threatening the enemy leaders with a violent
death if they did not do things your way. If the enemy bosses didn't take the
hint, your troops killed them and found other locals more compatible with your
way of thinking. This has been changing in the last few centuries.
First, there were large sailing ships armed with large cannon. This provided
the option of pursuing gunboat diplomacy. Shell your foe's coastal cities until
he saw the wisdom of doing what you wanted. But there were always hard cases,
strong leaders who could survive watching their coasts blown apart by hostile
warships. Today we blow things up using aircraft, but stubborn opponents are
still out there. And to change their minds, you have to send in the ultimate
killers, individual troops armed with assault rifles and a bloody-minded
disposition.
But we only have about 100,000 Infantry, Marines, Special Forces, Rangers and
others who can do this kind of work. These men are trained and motivated to
kill and maim on command. Secure from the rest of the world's trained killers
by two oceans and friendly neighbors, we often forget that there are millions
of professional (or semi-pro) killers out there who do not wear an American
uniform. While they may not be able to come to us, America's growing global
economic interests make it more likely that we will have to go to them.
Laser-guided bombs do not impress most of these guys. The Serbian infantry were
not bothered much by two months of NATO bombing. NATO troops entering Kosovo in
June of 1999 were rather rattled to discover that the Serb killers were moving
out of the area with all of their equipment and weapons. Had NATO not backed
off on the demand for Kosovo independence, NATO ground troops would have had to
go in and battle some very feisty Serb infantry.
The industrialized nations are, or strive to be, generally more civilized than
the rest of the world. The warrior mentality so respected in places like
Afghanistan, Somalia and wide swathes of Asia and Africa is discouraged. In the
West, it takes more training and better leadership to create competent killers.
And if more numerous, and warlike, populations should threaten Western
interests, a killer gap will quickly be noticed. This is because a true warrior
is not particularly vulnerable to punishment, or having his mind changed, from
the air. The Russians found that the Afghans were unfazed by massive bombing,
as were the Somalis and even the Serb soldiers.
The military professionals are not fooled by the current mania for precision
bombing from high, and safe, altitude. They know that this gives potential foes
the idea that America is unwilling to risk the lives of its troops. Feeling
this way, more warrior-minded peoples are encouraged to risk the wrath of the
world's only superpower. This was the attitude of Iraq in 1991. They believed
we would not risk American lives. They were wrong then, but everything America
has done for the rest of the 1990s sends a different message. Potential enemies
can count. They know we have only 100,000 warriors, and are very reluctant to
risk losing a single one in combat. This might be all the encouragement Iraq
needs to make another grab for Kuwait, or for North Korea to attempt a
unification of Korea on their terms.
The ultimate weapon is still the trained and organized ground soldier: the
ultimate killer, who can go places a smart bomb can't reach and kill things a
stealth bomber can't even find.
When the time comes that you need these killers, will they be there?
Copyright-James F. Dunnigan-1999
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